Like last week at TPC Scottsdale, correlation stats at Riviera CC are fairly on par with the TOUR average. At 7,322 yards and par-71, Riviera's distance doesn't jump off the page. George Thomas is the course architect behind both Riviera CC and LACC, with a common design philosophy displayed on both courses. I mentioned earlier that this weeks winner will need to be excellent in two of the three areas we highlighted either off of the tee, with the irons, or with the short game. In fact the wedge can make or break a score on a hole. A look down the list of past champions illustrates a trend of above-average driving distance with total driving as a strength of their games. The King, Arnold Palmer, took over the controls on this event in 1979, moving it to Bay Hill, the club he purchased in 1976. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Final round: Wednesday, March 1. There's a minimum. ), multiply by 36, and choose the tees that most closely match that yardage. Another week, another elevated event! That list includes McIlroy, Homa, Finau, Rahm, Cantlay, Schauffele, Day, Zalatoris, Harman, and Sungjae Im. Whether good or bad, we dont know how many more times well get to see Tiger play in a professional event, so I cant wait to see how he looks this week. In the last three seasons, the winning scores have been -5, -11, and -4. It would be clich to say that no course compares to Riviera CC, but I do struggle to find an exact match. Lob Wedge. It's much easier to play your second shot 150 yards back on the fairway than from 120 yards out in the rough. After the first hole, the two other par-5s and 315-yard par-4 10th are the only other holes to feature a scoring average below par. There should be a clear gap in Arnold Palmer Invitational odds between the top three and the rest of the field this week. PGA Tour player approach shots: 100-125 yards GIR: 74.59% Proximity from the fairway: 20'0 Proximity from the rough: 30'3 PGA Tour player approach shots: 150-175 yards GIR: 63.95% It is highlighted by the big-three of Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler. A par-68 layout measuring at over 7,600 yards and. With the usual Riviera stalwarts of Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson absent this year, the Course Horse honors are instead bestowed onto Adam Scott. More importantly, how could he have ranked 7th with such poor proximity to the pin numbers? That attracts the best players each year to compete and test their all around skillsets ahead of Major season. In the last three seasons, weve seen this golf course become much more difficult. Find the favorites in Florida this week with odds shorter than 20-1 here when sportsbooks open odds midday Monday. Tournament TOUR Championship TOUR Average 3' 8" The average distance to the hole (in feet) after hitting the ball onto the putting surface from around the green and the shot taken was less. Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly. Over the last six years, only Kevin Chappell has registered four rounds in the 60s in the same API tournament. So how did Casey do it? Golf course length of 18-hole course ranges from 6,500 to 6,900 yards which is approximately 5,900 to 6,400 meters. PGA Tour Average Proximity to Hole - Fairway (in yards) 29Jan 0. There are few certainties in golf betting, but Matsuyamas odds slipping to an unjustifiable range of the board is one of them. The top 10 players in terms of weighted proximity from this range are Morikawa, Rahm, McIlroy, Young, Fleetwood, Si Woo Kim, Tom Kim, Danny Lee, Justin Rose, and Justin Lower. Since 2015, Matsuyama has posted four top-11 finishes in seven appearances. 16 players avoided missing the cut at the Genesis Invitational over the last five years (min. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, 1 parlay we love and picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, The secret to making perfect fried chicken and waffles, according to a golf-club chef, One of the worst things to happen: Pro rants after PGA Tour change, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 2 groupings for Friday, How to watch the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational on Thursday: Round 1 TV schedule, streaming, The PGA Tour has created a hierarchy. Over 14 career appearances, Scott missed just one cut to go along with eight top-11 finishes, including three over the last four years. The Arnold Palmer Invitational has seen shorter-priced players win, however, in recent history, and I believe that speaks to how demanding the golf course is and the often very challenging weather that comes into play. Typical pitching wedge shots total 109 yards. Their success off the tee, however, didnt turn any of the three into dominant players. After Scott, the rest of the top 10 in Event History includes: McIlroy, Rahm, Homa, Xander Schauffele, Luke Donald, Viktor Hovland, Justin Thomas, Aaron Baddeley, and Hideki Matsuyama. The Twitter handle is a joke. The powerful lightweight lithium battery comes with a 5 year full warranty and the trolley has an extended 3 year warranty. Some of the bigger names in this field that check that box are Gary. in communications. three appearances): Scott, Schauffele, Homa, Rahm, Hahn, Holmes, Collin Morikawa, Tony Finau, Patrick Cantlay, Jordan Spieth, Russell Henley, Alex Noren, KH Lee, Lanto Griffin, Scott Piercy, and Brian Harman. Ten feet farther from the hole on 72 approach shots is an enormous difference. He then cashed in on his rising stock by taking a Saudi paycheck months later and faded to golf obscurity ever since. Like PGA National last week, penalties loom, with water hazards in play on nine holes. About one-third of approaches will come from beyond 200 yards, and a significant 70% of approaches will come from over 150 yards. They made names for themselves by contending in difficult conditions against the games best, so breakout opportunity exists here for yet-to-be-proven stars. In the two areas we pinpointed earlier, Im is 12th on Tour in Proximity to the Hole from 200+ yards and 7th in Par 5 Scoring. Sensible results follow from sensible calculations. February27February 27, 2023. rory mcilroy pga tour career mode best attributes. As far as correlated courses, I looked at Scottsdale. With its elevated status, this event feature virtually every eligible player on the PGA TOUR. For the third straight week, par will be a good score on a majority of holes. Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson were the only other tour players to top the 300-yard mark, as both averaged 302.1 yards on their drives. That distinction (and his presence) adds more prestige to the tournament. Well see, but the price does seem high. Its been the opposite for Zalatoris since returning from injury, however, as hes shot his best round of the tournament on Sunday each time hes played four rounds in 2023. This table shows how far the average golfer generally hits with each club when he or she makes solid contact. Matsuyama, Young, Homa, and Sungjae Im are all players Ill be keeping a close eye on when odds release Monday. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Instead, the list of past champions back to tee it up includeMax Homa, Adam Scott, J.B. Holmes, and James Hahn. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Professional golfers with the longest average driving distance on the PGA tour in 2022 (in yards) [Graph], PGA, August 24 . Step 1 - don't panic. It's important to note that these distances are just averages and may vary depending on your swing, skill level, and other factors. With a loaded field in store and a trend of mid-tier players beyond 25-1 odds winning this event I dont have a single player in particular Im locked in to betting this week. So its yet another week to reference performance in difficult, Major-like conditions when handicapping this event. Go to the range and map out your 50%-100% distances with every club. Bryson DeChambeaus well-publicized attempt to drive the green over the water on the par-5 6th hole was a must-see moment in golf, and its a shame the 2021 champion cant be here to have another go at it. In any case, the field is still stacked without him, and the Elevated events have not disappointed yet, so we should be in store for another captivating week of high-level golf. Most of the recent difficult scoring venues like TPC Potomac, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Torrey Pines (South), Innisbrook (Copperhead), and Bay Hill should serve as strong comps to simulate the all-around tee-to-green game required to contend. For more coverage of the Darius Rucker Intercollegiate and NCAA and professional golf, visit golfchannel.com. When Tiger Woods invites you to his invitational event with a $20 million purse on the line, its the type of event you work your schedule around. The No. having already secured his 2022/23 card with a stunning 50-foot birdie putt on the last hole of the Korn Ferry Tour Championship - enough to . hr case studies employee relations . Given the high percentage of approaches from the rough onto greens, even the best approach players needed to rely on a balanced short game to account for missed greens in regulation. They should also have established success both at this event and other difficult comp courses. A peek at EVERYTHING in Justin Thomas golf bag, This new stat measures which PGA Tour players REALLY hit it closest, Jordan Spieth, a snap hook, a lefty stance, rules and one chaotic ending. @JustinThomas34 proximity to hole ranks 50-75 yards: 3rd 75-100 yards: 1st 100-125 yards: 1st 125-150 yards: 2nd 150-175 yards: 3rd" . His price is a little shorter than I expected but I took the plunge anyway. Includes Fantasy TeamBuilder Atthaya Thitikul of Thailand tees off on the eighth hole during the Final Round of the HSBC Women's World Championship at Sentosa Golf Club on March 06, 2022 in Singapore. He does everything well and that is what is needed at this course. 90-110 yards. The course ranks in the top five for most missed putts both inside and outside 15 feet. Scoring on the par 5s is crucial to ones success at Bay Hill, as there arent a great deal of real birdie opportunities otherwise, but much like a major championship, the golf course will test all areas of ones game. A win in Arnies tournament would be quite a moment for the young man. Wrap that altogether and the top-10 players in terms of Comp Course History are Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, Will Zalatoris, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama, Xander Schauffele, Keegan Bradley, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Shane Lowry. It has been a while since Ive made a bet backing Jason Day but the guy is sneaking up on all of us with the way he has been playing the last five months. That checks out considering hes gained strokes putting in 11 of his 14 career appearances. There are 11 players in this field who have delivered multiple T10 finishes over the last five years: McIlroy, Hatton, Fitzpatrick, Fleetwood, Sungjae Im, Chris Kirk, Keegan Bradley, Keith Mitchell, Corey Conners, and Luke List. Im placing the most importance on Bogey Avoidance in Difficult Scoring Conditions this week. Riviera CC also features a number of elevation changes and is heavily bunkered both around the fairways and green-side complexes. Scroll to the bottom of this article to compare complete API outright odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks. The top 10 players in Good Drives Gained are: Morikawa, Hahn, Fitzpatrick, Lowry, Sungjae Im, Martin Laird, Kevin Streelman, Harris English, Nick Taylor, and Luke List. Those at the top of Genesis Invitational odds boards rarely prove able to close the door at this event. The lack of wind last week at the Honda Classic was really an outlier versus what we typically see on the Florida Swing. Judging by PGA Championship futures, which tend to set a fair line with course history bias removed, I project Tiger to open at around 65-1. 1 in the field in terms of SG: T2G in comp conditions. He said he didn't think adding . What makes Bay Hill so great is the diversity of leaderboards weve seen here. Bet with your head, not over it. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). You can follow Kannon on Twitter at@LasVegasGolferand you can read below to see his favorite plays for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, which kicks off Thursday at Bay Hill, in Orlando, Fla. Keep scrolling past Kannons picks, and youll also see data from Chirp,a free-to-play mobile platform andGOLF.comaffiliate that features a range of games with enticing prizes, giving fans all kinds of ways to engage in the action without risking any money. PGA TOUR odds this week include a field of 120. A few additional players with multiple top-20 finishes over the same span includes Charley Hoffman, Scottie Scheffler, Byeong Hun An, Max Homa, Sam Burns, Hideki Matsuyama, and Christiaan Bezuidenhout. Despite that history, it remains on a short list of courses he has yet to conquer. This has really help me get my wedges flighted lower with spin. Im looking to stockpile value in the mid-range of the odds board and I cant think of a better candidate than the 2021 Masters champion. Again, well see if he can win it outright but he certainly has the chops to contend. 4 Reasons Why Your Short Game Doesn't Improve, and How To Fix It . Distance off the tee is never necessarily a disadvantage, but the actual driving distance is 16% lower than the average TOUR course at only 282.5 yards. Last year, the weather took a turn for the worst over the weekend, quickly becoming a scrambling contest with these greens nearly impossible to reach in regulation. All of those factors come under the assumption that play occurs on a calm day, which were not always promised. It appears the lingering neck injury may now be behind him and, with back-to-back high finishes on this west coast swing, hes poised to make another run at contention in Los Angeles. Play the ball more up in your stance. Rory McIlroy, Rickie Fowler, Max Homa, Keith Mitchell, Viktor Hovland, Gary Woodland, Bryson DeChambeau, and Luke List have all proven the strong correlation between both courses. After McIlroy, the rest of the top 10 in Course History includesTyrrell Hatton, Francesco Molinari, Sungjae Im, Jason Day, Adam Scott, Scottie Scheffler, Matt Fitzpatrick, Justin Rose, and Tommy Fleetwood. I expect Will Zalatoris to be the most popularly bet player this week. Green Hit % % Short % Long: Proximity (ft) 24%: 61%: 15%: 86.3 (29 yards) . So, Sand Saves will be an important stat to track this week. With a winning score of -12 or less in five of the last six contests, the ability to repeatedly scramble for pars is a premium skillset to bring to Bay Hill. Notable veterans who have made no more than one prior appearance at the Arnold Palmer Invitational include Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele, and Jordan Spieth. Ball back in your stance will get you steep. But a T4 finish at the Genesis Invitational last we saw him should now quell any remaining speculation as to whether hes healthy enough to contend again. Inside the top 10 were major winners Louis Oosthuizen, Bubba Watson and Dustin Johnson. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Not quite to the level of Patrick Cantlay, but SungJae Im is another player who does everything well with nary the glaring weakness. Since 2020, Zal has delivered 17 top-10 finishes, 12 of which coming in comp difficult conditions between Torrey Pines, Muirfield Village, Riviera CC, Winged Foot, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Kiawah Island, Augusta National, and right here at Bay Hill. This is a huge week forGood Drives Gained. The average distance for a pitching wedge is 130 to 135 yards; for a sand wedge 115 to 120 yards; and for lob wedges 75 to 95 yards. PGA DFS Delivery: Arnold Palmer Invitational. Rose holds a B.A. In 2020,Tyrrell Hattonsurvived severely windy conditions with a Sunday 74 to post a -4, which edged him past Marc Leishman by one stroke to claim victory. LPGA Tour player average distances: Driver, irons, wedges Driver: 230-290 yards 3-wood: 190-260 yards 3-iron: 185-215 yards 4-iron: 170-200 yards 5-iron: 160-190 yards 6-iron: 150-175. In. 1 has played in 10 events this season. PGA TOUR - European Tour - 4 Most Recent Majors - Champions Tour - LPGA - Korn Ferry - Custom Performance Analysis Where Winners Come From - examine position of tournament winners per round - by player or tournament Prior Tournaments - analyize previous 4 Weeks on tour and at this weeks tournament. He also drew parallels to the familiar windy, firm, and fast conditions of the Australian Sandbelt as explanation for his preference to Riviera CCs setup. The stretching 7,466 yard, Par 72 features a set of tough par-4s, plus 3 of the par-5s measure over 555 yards. World No. Just nine players rate out above average in each of the above top-10 stat categories for Bay Hill:Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Sungjae Im, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Tony Finau, Jason Day, Tyrrell Hatton, andWill Zalatoris. The year of his Open Championship victory at Royal St. George's, he led the tour in approaches from, 125 to 150 yards, 150 to 175 yards, and from 175 to 200 yards. I think hes primed for another if not better. We hate touts. For example, the average full driver distance on the PGA tour is roughly 320 yards. So just as the Homa in California trend continues to pay dividends, Zalatoris in difficult conditions is one of the most reliable narratives in professional golf to go back to. With a high volume of approaches expected from the rough onto these greens, any semblance of wind will divert the emphasis to Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance, so its a crucial week to monitor the weather before locking in your bets. Just four players rank in the top 30 in SG: ARG, Scrambling, and Sand Saves: Matsuyama, Todd, Robby Shelton, and JJ Spaun. We hate touts. While recent form is always important, this is one of the weeks Ill be leaning more heavily on a mixed condition model to simulate performance in other comparable conditions. Hes missed the cut twice but hasnt finished worse than 21st in the eight other appearances, including three straight Top 10 finishes coming into this week. That changed on Thursday. Historical Tournament Stats Comprehensive statistical breakdown of past PGA Tour tournaments. They can hit 5-iron shots 195 to 205 yards; 6-iron shots 180 to 190 yards; 7-iron shots 165 to 180 yards; 8-iron shots 150 to 170 yards; and 9-iron shots 140 to 155 yards. At the Genesis Invitational, Matsuyama gained strokes putting in three of his last four appearances. The hole plays 14 yards longer than the difficult par-4 12th hole and features the same scoring average of 4.3. Weve seen elite drivers of the golf ball win here, elite iron players, and those possessing a magical short game. Now he arrives more in the role of an underdog with the price to go along with it, but at a course at which hes experienced very high level success. The top 10 players in SG: ARG are Thomas, Piercy, Donald, Matsuyama, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Byeong Hun An, Taylor Montgomery, Kurt Kitayama, Brendon Todd, and Patrick Rodgers. Consider putting: right around 8' is typically the break point on the PGA Tour for making 50% of putts.
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